Tony Finau enters the 2023 U.S. Open ranked fifth in the FedEx Cup standings after securing four top-10 finishes this season. He’s finished on top of the leaderboard twice already in 2022-23, recording victories at the Houston Open and Mexico Open. Finau could be among the under-the-radar 2023 U.S. Open contenders when play gets underway from Los Angeles Country Club on Thursday, June 15. Finau, the No. 12-ranked player in the world, is 25-1 in the 2023 U.S. Open odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Scottie Scheffler is the 7-1 favorite, with Jon Rahm (8-1), Brooks Koepka (9-1) and Rory McIlroy (10-1) next in line on the PGA odds board.
Before locking in your 2023 U.S. Open picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $8,300 on its best bets since that point, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure’s model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. And at the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm’s second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.
In addition, the model included Nick Hardy and Davis Riley in its best bets to win the 2023 Zurich Classic. That bet hit at +4500, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned over $1,100. McClure’s best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, even though he hadn’t won a PGA Tour event since 2018.
This same model has also nailed a whopping nine majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the 2023 U.S. Open is approaching, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected 2023 U.S. Open leaderboard.
2023 U.S. Open predictions for Max Homa, Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm
One shocker the model is calling for at the U.S. Open 2023: Max Homa, a six-time PGA Tour winner and one of the top favorites, stumbles and barely cracks the top 15. Homa is undeniably one of the most gifted putters on the PGA Tour, ranking third in putting average (1.690), fifth in strokes gained putting (0.741) and sixth in putts per round (27.89).
However, Homa has struggled on the tee box this season, ranking 71st in strokes gained off the tee (0.138) and 92nd in driving accuracy (59.61%). Homa’s inconsistency off the tee is a major reason why he enters the 2023 U.S. Open ranked 105th in greens in regulation percentage (65.12%). In addition, the 32-year-old has finished 43rd or worse in each of his last four starts at a major, which includes a 47th-place showing at the U.S. Open in 2022. He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the 2023 U.S. Open field, according to the model. See who else to fade here.
The model has also locked in its projection for Scottie Scheffler, the No. 1-ranked player in the world. Scheffler hasn’t won since the Players Championship in March, but he’s been red-hot in recent weeks. In fact, Scheffler has finished third or better in his last three starts.
He secured a runner-up finish at the PGA Championship in May and has all the tools needed to win his second major championship. The 26-year-old enters the U.S. Open 2023 ranked first in several important statistical categories, including strokes gained off the tee (1.107), strokes gained total (2.501) and greens in regulation percentage (74.11%). However, he’s struggled on the greens, ranking 114th in strokes gained putting (-0.066). See where every golfer finishes here.
On the other hand, the model has examined Jon Rahm’s chances to win his second major championship of the season. He became the first Spaniard to win the U.S. Open when he recorded his first major title in 2021. Rahm has been a consistent contender at majors, finishing in the top eight in all four tournaments in 2021 before adding a Masters victory earlier this season.
Rahm did not keep his calendar grand slam hopes alive at the PGA Championship, finishing 50th. Despite winning the U.S. Open two years ago, he has also missed the cut twice in seven appearances at the event. However, that is not going to keep him from being a popular betting option from the 2023 U.S. Open field. See the full U.S. Open projections from the model here.
How to make 2023 U.S. Open picks
The model is targeting four golfers with 2023 U.S. Open odds of 18-1 or longer who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s 2023 U.S. Open picks here.
Who will win the 2023 U.S. Open, which longshots will stun the golfing world, and where will Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler finish? Check out the latest 2023 U.S. Open odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected U.S. Open 2023 leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed nine golf majors, including the Masters.
2023 U.S. Open odds, field
See the full U.S. Open 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.
Scottie Scheffler +700
Jon Rahm +800
Brooks Koepka +900
Rory McIlroy +1000
Max Homa +1400
Justin Thomas +1600
Patrick Cantlay +1600
Viktor Hovland +1800
Cameron Smith +1800
Xander Schauffele +1800
Collin Morikawa +2200
Jordan Spieth +2500
Matt Fitzpatrick +2500
Tony Finau +2500
Dustin Johnson +2800
Hideki Matsuyama +3500
Shane Lowry +3500
Cameron Young +3500
Sungjae Im +3500
Bryson DeChambeau +4000
Jason Day +4000
Joaquin Niemann +5000
Sam Burns +5000
Rickie Fowler +5000
Sahith Theegala +5500
Tyrrell Hatton +5500
Corey Conners +5500
Aaron Wise +6000
Daniel Berger +6000
Tommy Fleetwood +6000
Joonhyung (Tom) Kim +6000
Louis Oosthuizen +6500
Wyndham Clark +6500
Keegan Bradley +6500
Davis Riley +6500
Marc Leishman +6500
Billy Horschel +7000
Denny McCarthy +7500
Justin Rose +7500
Seamus Power +8000
Mito Pereira +8000
Patrick Reed +8500
Russell Henley +9000
Talor Gooch +9000
Abraham Ancer +9000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +10000
Robert MacIntyre +10000
Webb Simpson +10000
Gary Woodland +10000
Harold Varner +10000
Jason Kokrak +10000
Adam Scott +10000
Thomas Pieters +12500
Tom Hoge +12500
Chris Kirk +12500
Mackenzie Hughes +12500
Si-Woo Kim +12500
Brian Harman +12500
Luke List +12500
Cam Davis +12500
Sergio Garcia +12500
Sebastian Munoz +12500
Kurt Kitayama +12500
Patrick Rodgers +15000
Lucas Herbert +15000
Matthew NeSmith +15000
Keith Mitchell +15000
Adrian Meronk +15000
Cameron Tringale +15000
Harris English +15000
Kevin Kisner +15000
Taylor Moore +15000
K.H. Lee +15000
JT Poston +15000
Alex Noren +15000
Phil Mickelson +15000
Min Woo Lee +15000
Adam Hadwin +17500
Victor Perez +17500
Adam Svensson +17500
Nick Hardy +17500
Matt Kuchar +20000
Joel Dahmen +20000
Eddie Pepperell +20000
Sepp Straka +20000
Taylor Montgomery +20000
Justin Suh +20000
Nick Taylor +20000